Sinful-Oregano
0xfa96247acb7a1630f7e27f5e5dd92ecc83070297
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$566.44
Total PnL
$-24.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
481 shares @ 50.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$466.51
$225.92
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
481 shares @ 50.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.68
$-225.92
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on May 14?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$9.90
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on May 14?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 14, 2026$9.89
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 19°C on May 14?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$9.10
$0.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 86°F or higher on May 14?
8 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 14, 2026$8.38
$-0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C or below on May 14?
8 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 14, 2026$8.20
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 25°C on May 14?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 14, 2026$8.20
$-0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C or below on May 14?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 14, 2026$7.49
$-0.01
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 1°C or below on May 14?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 14, 2026$7.39
$-0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C or higher on May 13?$1.002h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be 86°F or higher on May 14?$8.403h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 1°C or below on May 14?$7.403h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C or below on May 14?$6.903h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 25°C on May 14?$8.203h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C or below on May 14?$8.203h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 19°C on May 14?$9.103h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on May 14?$9.903h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on May 14?$9.903h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C or below on May 14?$7.503h ago
- MERGEWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$100.203h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 29°C or below on May 13?$1.703h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 13?$1.205h ago
- YIELD$0.066h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on May 13?$1.9012h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on May 13?$1.4012h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on May 13?$1.9017h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on May 13?$1.4023h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be 96°F or higher on May 13?$1.801d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on May 13?$1.701d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $3.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
