Itchy-Ambiguity
0xfaa8383a0f5bc171410f2b6dee935b8e806d826b
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
151
Open notional
$69.14
Total PnL
$-358.03
Realised
$-0.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 151- NO
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?
18 shares @ 17.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$17.69
$14.69
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
9 shares @ 68.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$8.81
$2.81
- YES
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
7 shares @ 57.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$6.93
$2.93
- NO
Will Podemos Perú (PP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?
6 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$6.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
5 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.18
$0.18
- NO
Will Somos Perú (SP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?
4 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$4.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
4 shares @ 69.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.54
$0.54
- NO
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
3 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
3 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$2.74
$0.74
- NO
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.11
$0.11
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?$2.11Mar 19, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$2.44Mar 19, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$5.19Mar 19, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$6.57Mar 19, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?$7.44Mar 19, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$8.89Mar 19, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 15?$10.00Mar 18, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 15?$3.20Mar 14, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 15?$3.30Mar 14, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 43°F or below on March 14?$153.00Mar 14, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 43°F or below on March 14?$150.25Mar 14, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 14?$1.86Mar 14, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 14?$1.43Mar 14, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on March 14?$3.30Mar 14, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on March 9?$1.65Mar 7, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on March 9?$1.75Mar 7, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on March 3?$17.00Mar 6, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 5?$1.15Mar 4, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 5?$1.35Mar 4, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 4?$1.10Mar 4, 02:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $19.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 14:05 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 19, 16:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".