Untrue-Chance
0xfabe4789318d51ddf39cd9ca560d53e1f21cefd7
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$10.00
Total PnL
$4.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKentucky vs. Louisville$5.60Nov 29, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3.2KOct 16, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.3KOct 16, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$15.14Oct 16, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.2KOct 16, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3.67Oct 16, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$74.52Oct 16, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.97Oct 16, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$26.97Oct 16, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$34.70Oct 16, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$35.01Oct 16, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$34.97Oct 16, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$35.00Oct 16, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$201.22Oct 16, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$235.98Oct 16, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$3.2KOct 15, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$3.2KOct 14, 13:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Oct 14, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$71.76Oct 13, 23:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$52.58Oct 13, 23:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 11, 15:05 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 29, 08:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".