Vast-Improvement
0xfac290df1d02920049082e34d211135d9eeff35f
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$110.02
Total PnL
$-410.53
Realised
$-0.28
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
618 shares @ 16.1¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$58.66
$-40.73
- NO
Will Seoul have less than 100mm of precipitation in June?
30 shares @ 96.0¢·now 82.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.82
$-3.97
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
13 shares @ 76.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$8.88
$-1.12
- YES
Will ground beef hit $7 per pound in 2026?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.26
$-1.74
- NO
Will ground beef hit $9 per pound in 2026?
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.16
$-4.84
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
21 shares @ 73.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.01
$-10.99
- YES
Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?
4 shares @ 94.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.21
$-3.79
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
37 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.02
$-29.98
- DOWN
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?
300 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-14.70
- DOWN
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 28?
100 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$20.14Jun 13, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$20.87Jun 13, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$31.91Jun 13, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$373.84Jun 13, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$3.00Jun 13, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$3.00Jun 13, 00:06 UTC
- REWARD$5.13Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$17.40Jun 12, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$39.60Jun 12, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$2.51Jun 12, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$111.02Jun 12, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$8.47Jun 12, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$52.70Jun 12, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$21.70Jun 12, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$49.60Jun 12, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$10.00Jun 12, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$10.00Jun 12, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET$43.48Jun 12, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET$40.22Jun 12, 05:14 UTC
- REWARD$6.78Jun 12, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $52.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 21:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.