Silky-Moment
0xfac71627e31b862587618f7aba1a4e6322dac46f
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$16.01
Total PnL
$-707.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will xAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
16 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$16.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on March 2?
21200 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-466.10
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 1?
1275 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.27
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?
481 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-240.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$16.00Jul 8, 04:31 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$16.00Jul 8, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$15.60Jun 19, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by May 31?$15.50Jun 19, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by May 31?$15.42May 10, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oman strike Iran by March 31?$15.62May 10, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oman strike Iran by March 31?$15.06Mar 5, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on March 2?$0.04Mar 2, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on March 2?$1.98Mar 2, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on March 2?$464.09Mar 2, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 1?$1.27Mar 1, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?$481.00Mar 1, 13:21 UTC
- SPLITWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?$481.00Feb 28, 04:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $66.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 04:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 04:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.