Awkward-Zootsuit
0xfacab43da335af829a646e1d76a5db27a8f1e8dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$6.25
Total PnL
$-74.46
Realised
$0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.26
$0.17
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 99.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.99
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 6?
12600 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-33.58
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 8?
5291 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-11.65
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on December 17?
2188 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-6.56
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 6?
2100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 29?
2095 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.18
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?
2078 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on April 27?
2077 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.15
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 19?
2075 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.15
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 3?$11.74Jul 3, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 3?$11.69Jul 2, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$6.98Jun 30, 22:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $200 end of June?$5.28Jun 30, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$6.97Jun 26, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $200 end of June?$5.26Jun 17, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $285?$14.14Jun 12, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $285?$14.10Jun 12, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$16.17Jun 1, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$16.12May 27, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$16.13May 22, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$16.03May 20, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?$3.41May 20, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?$12.45May 20, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?$12.40May 7, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 29?$0.01Apr 29, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 29?$0.00Apr 29, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 29?$0.00Apr 29, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 29?$4.17Apr 29, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on April 27?$4.15Apr 28, 01:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $456.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 06:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 16:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.