Formal-Quicksand
0xfacfd60cd52bc811bbb5af26441f2c5d93df49f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$25.15
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
24 shares @ 90.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.10
$1.10
- YES
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
152 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.05
$0.53
- DEEP CROSS GAMING
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner
9400 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
54 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-27.56
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
30 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
30 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
30 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
30 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
30 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
30 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the People’s Bank of China not change rates in May?$25.05Jun 3, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People’s Bank of China not change rates in May?$25.00May 30, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner$20.12May 30, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$22.09May 30, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$30.00May 30, 05:18 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$37.21May 30, 05:18 UTC
- CONVERSIONElon Musk # tweets May 22 - May 29, 2026?$30.00May 27, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$24.76May 27, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.52May 27, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$32.13May 27, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$28.00Feb 27, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner$4.1KFeb 26, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $170 on October 20?$27.63Oct 25, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $170 on October 20?$27.60Oct 20, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $100,000 October 13-19?$1.9KOct 19, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $100,000 October 13-19?$1.9KOct 19, 14:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $734.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 19, 14:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 16:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".