Known-Derivative
0xfad50d5548e850e8f586a3e4a67c6b556dacf1f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$2.20
Total PnL
$-31.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.20
$-0.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9AM ET
3078 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.27
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10PM ET
1800 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-6.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Solana dip to $175 in October?
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-10.20
- YES
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 28°C or below on April 29?$1.14May 29, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?$2.25May 29, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$3.51May 29, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.20May 29, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10PM ET$0.50May 29, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10PM ET$0.40May 29, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10PM ET$0.19May 29, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10PM ET$0.01May 29, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10PM ET$0.20May 29, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10PM ET$0.19May 29, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10PM ET$0.02May 29, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10PM ET$0.79May 29, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10PM ET$0.21May 29, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10PM ET$0.10May 29, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10PM ET$0.01May 29, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10PM ET$0.23May 29, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10PM ET$0.01May 29, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10PM ET$0.10May 29, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10PM ET$0.34May 29, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10PM ET$0.55May 29, 02:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $0.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 02:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 05:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".