Waterlogged-Saxophone
0xfae0d70a0c7b7a34d42c80f0205343f2621697b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$8.86
Total PnL
$-19.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
172 shares @ 5.3¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.86
$-0.26
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
18005 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-9.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
4999 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-2.5K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
4999 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-2.5K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
2003 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
392 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-196.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.12Mar 23, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the February decision?$2.04Mar 23, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$2.20Mar 23, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 3 be less than 2,000,000?$4.06Mar 23, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$2.00Feb 4, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the February decision?$2.00Feb 4, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 3 be less than 2,000,000?$4.00Feb 4, 04:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.01Feb 4, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?$1.05Feb 4, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?$2.09Feb 4, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Dec 8, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.00Dec 3, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?$1.00Nov 26, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?$1.00Nov 26, 04:04 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$96.00Nov 17, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$100.00Nov 17, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$25.00Nov 17, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$25.00Nov 17, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$48.00Nov 17, 06:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $777.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 10:23 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.