Accurate-Revolution
0xfae973dcb9c4bbbc134bb7de45c385ab6a14f23c
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$91.73
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1958 shares @ 5.1¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$77.33
$-22.51
- YES
Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Australia?
381 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$4.76
$-0.24
- YES
Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 3 Paraguay?
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$3.63
$-1.38
- YES
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Haiti?
357 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$3.04
$-1.96
- YES
Exact Score: Scotland 3 - 3 Morocco?
238 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$2.98
$-2.02
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
71786 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-372.14
- NO
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
1695 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Senegal?
870 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-121.82
- YES
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 3 Qatar?
617 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 3 South Africa?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 19, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 Korea Republic?$1.52Jun 18, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 2 - 2 Qatar?$1.52Jun 18, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Switzerland 2 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$1.51Jun 18, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Czechia 2 - 2 South Africa?$1.51Jun 18, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Türkiye 3 - 3 Paraguay?$5.15Jun 18, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Haiti?$5.15Jun 18, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Scotland 3 - 3 Morocco?$5.15Jun 18, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 3 - 3 Australia?$5.15Jun 18, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 Korea Republic?$5.15Jun 18, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 3 - 3 Qatar?$5.15Jun 18, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Switzerland 3 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$5.15Jun 18, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Czechia 3 - 3 South Africa?$5.15Jun 18, 13:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 2 - 0 Senegal?$124.96Jun 16, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$125.00Jun 16, 01:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.69Jun 15, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$87.29Jun 15, 02:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $63.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 9, 11:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.