Specific-Note
0xfb12b4fc5a85316b3b4c3c36d75fe78fb4d92a89
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$60.25
Total PnL
$-97.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
73 shares @ 48.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$33.18
$-1.82
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.17
$0.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 15?
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$5.86
$0.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 15?
43 shares @ 11.6¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$4.54
$-0.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 15?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$2.40
$-2.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on June 15?
338 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$2.20
$-2.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 15?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$2.14
$-2.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 15?
77 shares @ 6.5¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.77
$-3.23
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
4500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
635 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$5.35Jun 14, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$5.35Jun 14, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$26.73Jun 14, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$5.35Jun 14, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$5.35Jun 14, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$35.55Jun 14, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 15?$5.25Jun 14, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 15?$5.22Jun 14, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 15?$5.19Jun 14, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 15?$5.17Jun 14, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 15?$5.23Jun 14, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on June 15?$5.25Jun 14, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$0.00Jun 14, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$115.38Jun 13, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.20Jun 13, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$30.37Jun 13, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$15.39Jun 13, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$41.12Jun 13, 17:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $13.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 17:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 12:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.