Emotional-Marshmallow
0xfb19ccd344bafcffcf35bfd4922503675770cd27
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$363.84
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$382.27
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
2264 shares @ 10.6¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$141.47
$-98.52
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
689 shares @ 14.5¢·now 17.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$117.13
$17.13
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
500 shares @ 30.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$82.50
$-67.50
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
2393 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.73
$-117.27
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
5611 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-239.99
- YES
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?
2933 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
2820 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-62.35
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on December 2?
2380 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
2004 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-190.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 2?
1777 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$104.27Jun 3, 13:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 24, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$315.22May 23, 21:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 19, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $139.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 20:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".