Queasy-Aggression
0xfb32878032900faebd6e735864bd8be675990035
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
101
Open notional
$66.12
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$-30.62
Win rate
22%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 101- YES
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?
11 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.36
$0.30
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
12 shares @ 83.9¢·now 85.4¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$10.18
$0.17
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in July?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$9.89
$-0.28
- YES
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 87.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.59
$-0.46
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$9.51
$-0.55
- YES
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?
12 shares @ 84.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$8.57
$-1.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in July?
10 shares @ 97.0¢·now 76.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$8.01
$-2.10
- YES
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?
819 shares @ 21.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-175.00
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
735 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 22?
694 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-25.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?$10.15Jul 22, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,900 in July?$10.17Jul 21, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$10.09Jul 21, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?$10.06Jul 21, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-07-21?$11.97Jul 21, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?$11.97Jul 21, 19:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?$11.97Jul 21, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 21?$11.65Jul 21, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-07-21?$10.14Jul 21, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 21?$10.22Jul 21, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 21?$10.12Jul 21, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 21?$10.04Jul 21, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 21?$10.98Jul 21, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 21?$10.21Jul 21, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in July?$10.11Jul 21, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?$1.83Jul 20, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?$8.30Jul 20, 23:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 20?$11.75Jul 20, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLSPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 20?$5.78Jul 20, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 20?$5.95Jul 20, 18:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
22% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $9.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 20:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 03:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.