Jumbo-Tap
0xfb361f1290d253737133d73206c90c869202c346
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$3.25
Total PnL
$-28.67
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
2 shares @ 95.4¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.29
$0.05
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.2¢·now 96.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$-0.02
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 13?
6201 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.20
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on February 25?
1091 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.18
- YES
Will the price of Solana be less than $60 on February 10?
1084 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on February 21?
1080 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on March 24?
1079 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on March 10?
1078 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on February 16?
1068 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 3?
1066 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on July 7?$2.1KJul 8, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on July 7?$2.1KJul 8, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 7?$2.1KJul 7, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 7?$2.1KJul 7, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 6?$2.1KJul 6, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 6?$2.1KJul 6, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 on July 5?$2.1KJul 6, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 on July 5?$2.1KJul 6, 02:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 5?$2.1KJul 5, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 5?$2.1KJul 5, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 2?$12.18Jul 2, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 2?$12.12Jul 2, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$5.46Jul 1, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump be impeached by June 30?$5.11Jul 1, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$6.78Jun 30, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$6.77Jun 26, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$5.45Jun 21, 03:56 UTC
- REWARD$0.28Jun 11, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.52Jun 10, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.04Jun 9, 03:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $335.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 11:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 04:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.