Misguided-Spree
0xfb36d88af485086e767ca4be8bf9537b2f963055
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$143.61
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$59.28
Win rate
100%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Heart for The Hague (HvDH) win the most seats in The Hague’s 2026 municipal election?
120 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$120.00
$30.00
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.75
$-3.25
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
5 shares @ 94.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.00
$0.28
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 30.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.01
$-2.08
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?
765 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.68
$-1.41
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.67
$-0.33
- NO
Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
700 shares @ 62.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-440.35
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
350 shares @ 78.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-273.74
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?$0.46Mar 9, 00:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$23.84Mar 2, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?$2.90Feb 20, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?$5.70Feb 20, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?$2.90Feb 20, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?$10.00Feb 18, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Heart for The Hague (HvDH) win the most seats in The Hague’s 2026 municipal election?$60.80Feb 15, 12:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$36.41Feb 15, 12:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$21.17Feb 15, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Heart for The Hague (HvDH) win the most seats in The Hague’s 2026 municipal election?$29.20Feb 15, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JA21 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$5.40Feb 7, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?$4.15Feb 2, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?$26.85Feb 2, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?$5.50Feb 2, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?$39.10Feb 1, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 7 days or more?$42.00Feb 1, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$106.00Feb 1, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?$1.90Feb 1, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?$50.20Jan 31, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?$12.50Jan 31, 19:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $24.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 15:09 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 00:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".