Outlandish-Wetbar
0xfb41efbb19441c96dca98415e5b2e2df7d51affe
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$8.36
Total PnL
$-8.58
Realised
$-0.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will A House of Dynamite win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$2.45
$0.00
- NO
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2025?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.25
$0.25
- NO
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
4 shares @ 80.0¢·now 38.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.45
$-1.55
- NO
Lana Del Rey divorce in 2025?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.19
$0.19
- NO
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
1 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the next James Bond be British?
3 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
2 shares @ 95.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?$3.00Dec 9, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill A House of Dynamite win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$500.25Dec 9, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A House of Dynamite win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$503.20Dec 9, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$3.00Dec 9, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2025?$2.00Jun 17, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next James Bond be British?$2.00Jun 17, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.00Jun 17, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$0.00Jun 17, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon 1,500 or more Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?$0.00Jun 17, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit Russia in first 100 days?$1.09Jun 17, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?$1.10Jun 17, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada block Pornhub in the U.S. before May?$2.06Jun 17, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada block Pornhub in the U.S. before May?$2.00Mar 17, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$2.00Mar 17, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYLana Del Rey divorce in 2025?$1.00Mar 17, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump sanction Russia before March?$0.00Mar 17, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump sanction Russia before March?$1.04Mar 17, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Russia in first 100 days?$1.00Feb 19, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sanction Russia before March?$1.00Feb 19, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$1.00Feb 19, 11:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $28.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 21, 08:14 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 9, 11:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.