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BusinessExpires Dec 31, 2026

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

Probability

70¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.6pp

24h Vol

$224.94

Liquidity

$2.8K

Probability (last 7 days)

-3.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:22
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 5985h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 5.2¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5984.6h

    LOW
  • 15:22Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 5985h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -4.9pp

    to 67¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability down -5.2pp

    to 67¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -4.3pp

    to 68¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -3.7pp

    to 68¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -3.7pp

    to 68¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.6pp

    to 68¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 67¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Dec 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
  • Wide spread (5.2¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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