Sociable-Sash
0xfb5f250d66d67f853fd370c89d7b462670b8f3dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$60.24
Total PnL
$-785.35
Realised
$-105.70
Win rate
42%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- NO
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B?
39 shares @ 71.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$34.32
$6.63
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
25 shares @ 46.1¢·now 53.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.25
$1.71
- NO
Will Deaglan McEachern win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?
5 shares @ 88.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Sep 8, 2026$4.93
$0.53
- YES
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
5 shares @ 53.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$3.17
$0.52
- NO
Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?
3 shares @ 97.8¢·now 90.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.71
$-0.23
- NO
Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$0.96
$0.02
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
1 shares @ 63.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.38
$-0.25
- YES
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.30
$-0.38
- YES
AI bubble burst in 2026?
1 shares @ 44.0¢·now 21.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.21
$-0.23
- YES
Will Blue Prince win Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2025 Steam Awards?
524 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-75.98
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$3.00May 7, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMSisyphus mindshare all time high by March 31?$59.00May 7, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?$104.43Apr 21, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?$36.58Apr 21, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?$1.00Apr 3, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill BBB be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$1.00Apr 3, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?$4.00Apr 3, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Apr 3, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill George Clooney be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Apr 3, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$5.99Apr 3, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?$20.00Apr 3, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keon Ellis be traded this season?$250.00Apr 3, 06:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 30, 00:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 29, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 26, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 25, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 23, 00:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 22, 01:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $71.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 00:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 07:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.