Left-Screwup
0xfb74dd6a2067af7a34a9baa852ecd1f122f72156
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$161.66
Total PnL
$-3.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on May 15?
30 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$30.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 15?
30 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 15, 2026$29.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
21 shares @ 94.2¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$20.48
$0.48
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 15?
20 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$19.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 15?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 15, 2026$19.93
$-0.07
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?
12 shares @ 92.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.62
$0.62
- YES
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
9 shares @ 87.7¢·now 49.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.50
$-3.50
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.94
$-0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 15?$20.00May 14, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 15?$20.00May 14, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 15?$30.00May 14, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on May 15?$30.00May 14, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$20.00May 13, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.01May 13, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$20.06May 12, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?$30.03May 12, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?$30.00May 10, 10:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 53°F or below on May 10?$0.00May 10, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 53°F or below on May 10?$30.06May 10, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 53°F or below on May 10?$10.00May 9, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 53°F or below on May 10?$20.00May 9, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$3.02May 9, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$5.49May 9, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$10.08May 9, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$5.02May 8, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$3.00May 8, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?$200.20May 8, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?$200.01May 7, 07:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $36.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 03:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 04:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".