Severe-Verse
0xfb8104663edec8e01a6202e1013b96cf9fef37bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-26.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 31?
112 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.82
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 31?
51 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
20 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$0.00Mar 31, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$0.00Mar 31, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$8.46Mar 31, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 31?$0.00Mar 31, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Google" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$0.07Mar 31, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?$8.00Mar 31, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?$0.30Mar 31, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$0.43Mar 31, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?$0.79Mar 31, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$8.74Mar 31, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?$8.24Mar 31, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "AI" be said 15+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$0.15Mar 31, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?$0.75Mar 31, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$0.84Mar 31, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.03Mar 31, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$10.00Mar 31, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$12.63Mar 31, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$5.00Mar 31, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$10.00Mar 31, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$1.01Mar 31, 19:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 07:14 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 19:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.