0xfb9d38cac5c3b0936413b78f30664d3c224bd78e
0xfb9d38cac5c3b0936413b78f30664d3c224bd78e
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$10.4K
Total PnL
$-555.59
Realised
$2.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2187 shares @ 40.7¢·now 47.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.0K
$149.14
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
2959 shares @ 40.1¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$932.20
$-253.53
- NO
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
798 shares @ 91.1¢·now 91.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$731.81
$4.39
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
460 shares @ 56.8¢·now 88.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$407.35
$146.34
- NO
Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
423 shares @ 85.6¢·now 91.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$385.14
$22.67
- NO
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
318 shares @ 85.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$275.49
$4.78
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
219 shares @ 57.6¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$215.18
$89.05
- NO
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
239 shares @ 82.4¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$200.52
$3.70
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
234 shares @ 42.8¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$192.80
$92.80
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
195 shares @ 58.4¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$168.42
$54.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$1.72Jun 13, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.80Jun 13, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.10Jun 13, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$4.62Jun 13, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$20.56Jun 13, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$20.56Jun 13, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.80Jun 13, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$0.54Jun 13, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.74Jun 13, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan win on 2026-06-22?$7.96Jun 13, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan win on 2026-06-22?$0.28Jun 13, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$6.45Jun 13, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$2.69Jun 13, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$6.34Jun 13, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jun 13, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jun 13, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jun 13, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jun 13, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.16Jun 13, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.70Jun 13, 08:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $5.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 23:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 14:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.