Dizzy-Zombie
0xfba638c083dcd88a6711a1ffba4352c5431a1fca
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$39.0K
Total PnL
$1.9K
Realised
$886.26
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?
20139 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$20.0K
$89.42
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
7773 shares @ 44.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$5.6K
$2.1K
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
8757 shares @ 63.3¢·now 49.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$4.3K
$-1.2K
- NO
Iran leadership change by August 31?
4332 shares @ 98.1¢·now 99.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$4.3K
$52.01
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.9¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$2.0K
$9.60
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
1200 shares @ 94.2¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$60.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
2400 shares @ 32.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$660.00
$-108.00
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?
450 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.2¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$446.40
$6.08
- YES
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
277 shares @ 91.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$187.21
$-65.18
- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 14.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$175.50
$133.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by August 31?$170.00Aug 21, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by August 31?$77.00Aug 21, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by August 31?$160.00Aug 21, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by August 31?$155.00Aug 20, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by August 31?$2.0KAug 20, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?$10.04Aug 20, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?$199.79Aug 20, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?$35.39Aug 20, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?$24.85Aug 20, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?$5.1KAug 20, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by August 31?$122.02Aug 20, 00:47 UTC
- REDEEMIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?$44.28Aug 18, 01:51 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.38Aug 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$6.2KAug 17, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$891.90Aug 17, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$901.81Aug 17, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$297.30Aug 17, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$442.02Aug 17, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$426.93Aug 17, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$2.1KAug 17, 14:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $551.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 17:58 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 09:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.