0xfbb7fc19f80b26152fc5886b5eafa7d437f26f27
0xfbb7fc19f80b26152fc5886b5eafa7d437f26f27
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 41°F or below on February 25?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 42-43°F on February 25?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on February 25?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C or below on March 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on March 9?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C or below on March 4?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on March 9?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 11?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 44°F or higher on February 25?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 44-45°F on February 25?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-03-08?$9.04Jun 12, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?$16.67Jun 12, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-03-06?$21.67Jun 12, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA Tucumán win on 2026-03-08?$35.56Jun 12, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA Banfield win on 2026-03-06?$100.47Jun 12, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on April 21?$299.97Apr 22, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on April 21?$300.00Apr 22, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 21?$100.00Apr 22, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on April 21?$299.99Apr 22, 01:41 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.17Apr 22, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 71°F or below on April 20?$273.75Apr 22, 00:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$9.63Apr 22, 00:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$99.98Apr 22, 00:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 21?$300.00Apr 22, 00:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on April 21?$299.98Apr 22, 00:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 20?$99.99Apr 22, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on April 20?$300.00Apr 22, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 21?$4.00Apr 21, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on April 21?$4.00Apr 21, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on April 21?$0.29Apr 21, 22:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $0.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 21:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 05:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.