Yellow-Crisis
0xfbc786c63e49f7a2d4f9942221b544de0003e1fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-136.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
1488 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.09
- NO
Will MrBeast hit 116 billion views by March 31?
1001 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-74.00
- YES
Will MrBeast hit 490 million subscribers by April 30?
203 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?
108 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Argentina vs. Mauritania end in a draw?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?
95 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?
94 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-7.52
- YES
Will Raphinha be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Mauritania win on 2026-03-27?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
51 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.83
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?$0.07May 11, 04:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$0.90May 11, 04:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?$0.11May 11, 04:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ousmane Dembele be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?$0.10May 11, 04:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.16May 11, 04:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?$0.23May 11, 04:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?$0.29May 11, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamine Yamal be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?$0.27May 11, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.46May 11, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$0.71May 11, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.8m & 5m square kilometers?$0.23May 11, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$0.88May 11, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the IL-10 House seat?$0.80May 11, 03:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the VA-08 House seat?$0.82May 11, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.38May 11, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$5.72May 11, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.32May 11, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?$1.03May 11, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.08May 11, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLRepublicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?$1.20May 11, 03:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $3.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 11:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 04:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.