This-Adaptation
0xfbdd5f4862fb39e09a3fa6919db193ba54d3d370
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$375.01
Total PnL
$-130.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
20000 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$370.00
$90.00
- YES
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
557 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$5.01
$-134.58
- YES
Will Garrett Crochet win the 2025 AL Cy Young?
239 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Shohei Ohtani lead the MLB in Home Runs?
200 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-36.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 27, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$40.81May 26, 15:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $71.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.