0xfbed38b882cc0072608632b01f118a6d5b630a00
0xfbed38b882cc0072608632b01f118a6d5b630a00
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$25.46
Total PnL
$1.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.11May 29, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.79May 28, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.03May 27, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.02May 26, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?$14.00May 26, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLNew "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? $27.59May 26, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$11.05May 26, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? $28.07May 26, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$10.50Apr 26, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$27.71Apr 26, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?$10.87Apr 26, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$27.74Apr 26, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?$10.00Mar 25, 10:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$23.53Mar 25, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close above $280 end of February?$14.21Mar 25, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$23.79Mar 25, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $280 end of February?$4.00Feb 23, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $280 end of February?$10.00Feb 23, 12:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?$37.78Feb 23, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMInternet access restored in Iran by Friday?$0.00Feb 23, 12:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $17.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 15:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.