Third-Marathon
0xfc0a18473915928784716ad62f32c4fa8cd28c9a
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$279.08
Total PnL
$1.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
223 shares @ 22.4¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$59.18
$9.18
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
388 shares @ 7.7¢·now 11.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$46.01
$16.01
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1685 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$41.28
$1.28
- YES
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
887 shares @ 4.5¢·now 3.6¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$32.39
$-7.61
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
77 shares @ 19.4¢·now 23.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$17.74
$2.74
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
115 shares @ 10.5¢·now 14.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$16.91
$4.91
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
30 shares @ 50.6¢·now 42.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$12.59
$-2.41
- YES
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?
35 shares @ 57.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$12.10
$-7.90
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
200 shares @ 6.9¢·now 5.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.30
$-3.50
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
67 shares @ 17.9¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.60
$-2.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.01Jun 14, 04:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$5.07Jun 12, 07:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$10.38Jun 11, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.29Jun 11, 16:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$5.07Jun 10, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$10.38Jun 10, 08:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $10.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 04:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.