Polite-Desk
0xfc12368c0ae447c97bc8c33164c522b6058d63cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$4.23
Total PnL
$-61.87
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.25
$0.01
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 15?
5403 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.81
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on March 30?
1119 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.24
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on February 5?
1106 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-12.17
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 23?
1101 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 7?
1096 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.19
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on March 5?
1088 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.26
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on April 16?
1086 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on February 24?
1081 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 12?$2.09Jun 12, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 3?$2.13Jun 3, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$3.24Jun 2, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.50May 31, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25?$2.11May 25, 05:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.26May 22, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.25May 21, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on May 16?$2.14May 16, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on May 7?$2.15May 7, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.50May 6, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $60 on May 3?$1.1KMay 3, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $60 on May 3?$1.1KMay 3, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 2?$1.1KMay 2, 19:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?$3.12May 2, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 2?$1.1KMay 2, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 1?$1.1KMay 1, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$2.54May 1, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 1?$1.1KMay 1, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 30?$1.1KApr 30, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 30?$1.1KApr 30, 12:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $337.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 03:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 01:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.