Brief-Monitoring
0xfc2285e9c5bad10dfb7bbe85d3be3f81df1ba783
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$4.95
Total PnL
$-91.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.75
$-1.25
- YES
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
126 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.20
$-3.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
1116 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in February 2026?
528 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will CDU/CSU and Greens form the next German Government?
267 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?
133 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the Swiss referendum over the e-ID Act pass?
115 shares @ 23.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$0.00
$-27.48
- YES
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$2.11Apr 17, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$1.00Apr 17, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$1.00Apr 17, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?$1.00Apr 17, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?$1.00Apr 17, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$5.00Apr 17, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$1.00Mar 22, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$1.00Mar 22, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$1.00Mar 22, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$1.00Mar 22, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$1.00Mar 22, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$1.00Mar 22, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$1.00Mar 10, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$1.00Mar 10, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$1.00Mar 10, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$1.00Mar 10, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$2.00Mar 10, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$1.00Mar 10, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$1.00Mar 10, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$2.66Mar 10, 16:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $7.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 20:03 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 17:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".