True-Police
0xfc2479430b01f90320eccd512002f65c19b3df95
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$21.84
Total PnL
$1.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.54
$0.54
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$1.39
$0.39
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$1.19
$0.19
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.18
$0.18
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.13
$0.13
- YES
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?
1 shares @ 92.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 93.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.06
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.00Nov 5, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 5?$1.00Nov 5, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$1.00Nov 5, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.00Nov 5, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.00Nov 5, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $150 on November 5?$1.00Nov 5, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Nov 5, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.00Nov 5, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$1.00Nov 5, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$1.00Nov 5, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.00Nov 5, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$1.00Nov 5, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by November 7?$1.00Nov 5, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?$1.00Nov 5, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?$1.00Nov 5, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?$1.00Nov 5, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$1.00Nov 5, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$1.00Nov 5, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.00Nov 5, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 5, 12:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 7, 13:39 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 12:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".