Clumsy-Comment
0xfc24b8df0bd30422e8a057b53092becc994011a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-89.18
Realised
$0.62
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?
8550 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-23.51
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + D66?
5799 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-7.24
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?
510 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
475 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.28
- YES
Will Nigeria vs. Tanzania end in a draw?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-3.04
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 15?
232 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-7.16
- YES
Will Time announce Person of the Year on December 18 or later?
182 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-4.18
- NO
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?
126 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.34
- YES
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
119 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$1.26Feb 7, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$0.60Feb 7, 22:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$0.80Feb 7, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$1.06Feb 7, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$1.67Feb 7, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$1.00Feb 7, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$0.79Feb 7, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$1.90Feb 7, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$1.00Feb 7, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$1.00Feb 7, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.40Feb 3, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?$0.97Feb 3, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$1.00Feb 3, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oliver rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$0.74Feb 3, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?$1.00Feb 3, 04:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$1.93Jan 29, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$1.82Jan 29, 02:19 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?$1.82Jan 29, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?$1.52Jan 26, 02:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AZ win on 2026-01-25?$5.76Jan 25, 07:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 27, 10:51 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 7, 22:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.