Some-Shape
0xfc30c3faa8a51538e1e553afe0aecdf3ebc5c811
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$7.66
Total PnL
$-26.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
32 shares @ 15.6¢·now 16.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.30
$0.30
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15 shares @ 13.6¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.36
$0.36
- NO
US x Iran meeting by April 12, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
119 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Trump's remarks not air?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
94 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$1.00May 25, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMDeepSeek V4 released by April 15?$4.76Apr 18, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Mustache" in April?$1.00Apr 14, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 14, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?$1.00Apr 14, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 31?$1.00Apr 14, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMAny of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?$0.00Apr 12, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 12, 2026?$2.00Apr 11, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?$1.00Apr 11, 16:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump praise Allah again by April 15?$10.00Apr 11, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?$1.00Apr 10, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Apr 7, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$2.00Apr 7, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$2.00Apr 7, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.00Apr 7, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Allah again by April 15?$1.00Apr 7, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYAny of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?$1.00Apr 2, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$2.50Mar 26, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00Mar 26, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Job" 15+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?$6.25Mar 26, 11:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 21:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 14:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.