Realistic-Stealth
0xfc3c30a445a1e4f18c0fdccb36574652a8f6e38b
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$81.82
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-3.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
114 shares @ 88.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$81.82
$-18.18
- NO
Owlto FDV above $100M one day after launch?
1016 shares @ 48.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-490.46
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
712 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-132.80
- NO
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?
400 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-320.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
264 shares @ 27.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-72.00
- NO
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-20?
250 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Owlto FDV above $200M one day after launch?
220 shares @ 97.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-214.72
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?
189 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
147 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
145 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$38.72Jun 2, 01:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$5.13May 30, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$5.12May 30, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$10.23May 30, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?$106.27May 30, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$10.22May 30, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?$2.14May 7, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$2.11May 7, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?$100.86May 5, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$31.51May 5, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$102.30May 5, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$101.24May 5, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$30.27May 5, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?$100.24May 5, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by 70% or more?$10.11May 5, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$21.01May 5, 21:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $48.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 16:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".