Muffled-Makeover
0xfc45d20adb96233218a69950d808907ce9a7ed4a
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$36.89
Total PnL
$-20.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 97.4¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.49
$0.49
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$5.31
$0.31
- NO
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
5 shares @ 94.8¢·now 96.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$5.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.98
$-0.02
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
2 shares @ 97.4¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on September 27?
26 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$5.00Jun 2, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$2.00Jun 2, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00Jun 2, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00Jun 2, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5.17Jun 1, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.00May 31, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5.00May 28, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$2.01May 27, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open?$1.03May 24, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill "NOTRE SALUT by Emmanuel MARRE" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$1.02May 23, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open?$1.00May 22, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "NOTRE SALUT by Emmanuel MARRE" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$1.00May 21, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.00May 21, 20:47 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: SC Freiburg 2 - 3 Aston Villa FC?$3.06May 20, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: SC Freiburg 2 - 3 Aston Villa FC?$3.00May 20, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: AFC Bournemouth 1 - 2 Manchester City FC?$1.09May 19, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: AFC Bournemouth 1 - 2 Manchester City FC?$1.00May 19, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 2 Burnley FC?$6.08May 18, 22:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $3.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 15:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".