Sardonic-Mankind
0xfc5303be0cb56db0750bfe750a4fad4b5344e34a
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$556.68
Total PnL
$-0.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
485 shares @ 50.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$479.22
$236.82
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 64°F or higher on May 14?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 14, 2026$9.78
$-0.01
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C or below on May 14?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 14, 2026$9.68
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on May 14?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 14, 2026$9.49
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on May 14?
8 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 14, 2026$8.38
$-0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 76°F or higher on May 14?
8 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 14, 2026$8.28
$-0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on May 14?
7 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 14, 2026$7.09
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on May 14?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 14, 2026$6.89
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 46°C on May 14?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 14, 2026$6.19
$-0.01
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on May 14?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 14, 2026$6.09
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C on May 14?$9.507m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be 64°F or higher on May 14?$9.809m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on May 14?$6.1010m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on May 14?$7.1010m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on May 14?$6.9014m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C or below on May 14?$9.7054m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on May 14?$8.4057m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 76°F or higher on May 14?$8.3058m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 46°C on May 14?$6.201h ago
- MERGEWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$100.501h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be 100°F or higher on May 12?$1.901h ago
- YIELD$0.068h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on May 12?$1.1014h ago
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C or below on May 12?$2.0014h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C or below on May 12?$1.1015h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 57°F or below on May 12?$1.9115h ago
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C or below on May 12?$1.9015h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 12?$1.1016h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 50-51°F on May 12?$1.6023h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 12?$1.201d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $3.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5d ago
- Last active
- 7m ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
