Adolescent-Estate
0xfc535185a235825e0f4c4689d27c480e6b219754
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
101
Open notional
$245.81
Total PnL
$797.08
Realised
$967.44
Win rate
99%
74 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 101- YES
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
12000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$18.00
$-1.97
- YES
Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
23429 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$11.71
$-28.04
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
155 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$11.63
$0.72
- YES
Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
21364 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$10.68
$-23.76
- YES
Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
15416 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$7.71
$-16.42
- YES
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$7.50
$2.50
- YES
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
4573 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$6.86
$-2.84
- YES
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
4500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$6.75
$0.75
- YES
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
12232 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$6.12
$-8.70
- YES
Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
12187 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$6.09
$-8.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.02Jun 14, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.05Jun 14, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.07Jun 14, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.02Jun 14, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.02Jun 14, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.05Jun 14, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.06Jun 14, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.06Jun 13, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.02Jun 13, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.00Jun 13, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.00Jun 13, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.01Jun 13, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?$0.01Jun 13, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.69Jun 13, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.00Jun 13, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.35Jun 13, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.28Jun 13, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marada Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?$0.00Jun 13, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?$0.02Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?$0.06Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $0.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 11:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 04:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 74 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.