Knobby-Peninsula
0xfc70f3349dc158366096b085e60c7467a946e75d
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
68
Open notional
$0.03
Total PnL
$-642.49
Realised
$-66.62
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- YES
Will Erika Hilton win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
20 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.03
$-0.61
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on March 29?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- ROAR GAMING
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Roar Gaming (BO5) - DreamLeague China Closed Qualifier Playoffs
256 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-13.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 20?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on March 12?
124 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-7.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 20?
116 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11PM ET
114 shares @ 56.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-64.15
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1AM ET
101 shares @ 52.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-53.00
- YES
Sentio FDV above $200M one day after launch?
100 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.00
$-7.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$100.00Jun 14, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Spurs$100.00Jun 14, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$87.00Jun 14, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$60.00Jun 14, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$9.22Jun 12, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$10.22Jun 12, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$18.45Jun 9, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$10.24Jun 9, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMTea FDV above $80M one day after launch$99.99Jun 5, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMTea FDV above $100M one day after launch$663.33Jun 5, 08:06 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.97Jun 4, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYTea FDV above $100M one day after launch$80.00Jun 3, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYTea FDV above $80M one day after launch$67.99Jun 3, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTea FDV above $100M one day after launch$200.10Jun 3, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$429.94Jun 3, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYTea FDV above $100M one day after launch$302.10Jun 3, 09:00 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.14Jun 1, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$403.26May 31, 02:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$54.95May 31, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.00May 31, 02:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $66.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 13:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 06:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.