Oval-Treaty
0xfc75f7bf7d158ffd32b6133b31705ebe41328604
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$17.0K
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-144.83
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
5836 shares @ 97.2¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.8K
$107.97
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
6000 shares @ 88.3¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.5K
$190.05
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
2500 shares @ 96.2¢·now 96.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.4K
$-1.49
- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
6239 shares @ 20.1¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$967.03
$-288.47
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
600 shares @ 95.2¢·now 96.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$575.70
$4.60
- NO
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
600 shares @ 77.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$444.00
$-18.00
- NO
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
436 shares @ 88.4¢·now 88.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$383.92
$-1.80
- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
18495 shares @ 4.8¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$342.16
$-552.92
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1000 shares @ 35.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$334.97
$-15.00
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
100 shares @ 95.7¢·now 97.9¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$97.85
$2.15
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.49Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?$64.22Jun 13, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$75.13Jun 13, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$193.60Jun 13, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$228.59Jun 13, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$1.92Jun 13, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$1.92Jun 13, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$8.47Jun 13, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$4.26Jun 13, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$101.69Jun 13, 10:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$1.6KJun 12, 20:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.54Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- MERGEWill Trump be impeached by end of 2026?$1.7KJun 10, 07:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.64Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$116.19Jun 9, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$9.30Jun 9, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$305.28Jun 9, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$34.22Jun 9, 06:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $105.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 11:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.