Bruised-Venison
0xfc83d669a3ba730dd0a73a8c547d78181cdbe1aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
73
Open notional
$961.79
Total PnL
$-13.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- NO
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
30 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$30.09
$0.01
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?
29 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$28.63
$3.15
- NO
Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?
29 shares @ 96.8¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$28.35
$0.66
- NO
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?
27 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$26.52
$-0.15
- NO
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
29 shares @ 90.7¢·now 91.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$26.06
$0.20
- NO
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
25 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$24.59
$0.14
- NO
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
30 shares @ 92.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.87
$-3.75
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat?
29 shares @ 78.7¢·now 78.5¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$23.08
$-0.07
- NO
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?
25 shares @ 54.8¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.13
$8.42
- NO
Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
20 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$20.38
$2.03
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Daniel Quintero win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$17.39Jun 4, 08:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?$11.89Jun 1, 07:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amanda Anisimova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$12.21May 31, 03:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?$0.00May 28, 00:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $7.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 07:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.