Messy-Restaurant
0xfc8eb5a375028e0c590d1c999daa4f0a43206fad
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$35.75
Total PnL
$-12.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.99
$0.99
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
11 shares @ 94.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.54
$0.54
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
3 shares @ 38.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.61
$1.61
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.40
$1.40
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
1 shares @ 69.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.45
$0.45
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
1 shares @ 80.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
1 shares @ 87.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 93.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$1.07
$0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.00Mar 23, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 23, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$1.01Mar 23, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$1.00Mar 23, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$1.00Mar 23, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$1.00Mar 23, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$10.00Mar 23, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$1.00Mar 23, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?$1.00Mar 23, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$1.00Mar 23, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$1.00Mar 23, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$1.00Mar 23, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$1.00Mar 23, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$1.00Mar 23, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$1.00Mar 23, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$1.00Mar 23, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 23, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by March 31?$1.00Mar 23, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall in 2025?$0.00Mar 23, 10:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall in 2025?$0.00Mar 23, 10:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 08:48 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 11:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.