Demanding-Pelt
0xfcb61b141801a22e37c887f52ad3f6ddb4437a1e
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
126
Open notional
$5.22
Total PnL
$-142.19
Realised
$0.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 126- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 6.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.76
$-6.24
- YES
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
12 shares @ 8.6¢·now 7.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.85
$-0.15
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 22?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 27?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Qatar strike on Israel by September 30?
990 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 14?
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
568 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.85
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10?$3.70Jun 10, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10?$1.07Jun 10, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10?$1.05Jun 10, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 5?$0.81Jun 5, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?$1.26May 29, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 17?$1.00Apr 17, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 17?$1.00Apr 17, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 17?$1.00Apr 17, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 17?$1.00Apr 17, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 17?$1.00Apr 17, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 17?$5.40Apr 17, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 17?$1.00Apr 17, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 17?$1.00Apr 17, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 17?$1.00Apr 17, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 17?$1.00Apr 17, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 16?$1.00Apr 16, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 16?$1.00Apr 16, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 16?$1.00Apr 16, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 16?$1.00Apr 16, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 15?$1.00Apr 15, 09:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 06:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 16:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.