French-Croissant
0xfcf3b4fc77d70ebeb6eae9730e6d4ca783918572
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$5.38
Total PnL
$-15.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 94.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in January 2026?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 92.8¢·now 74.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.81
$-0.19
- YES
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 93.8¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.48
$-0.52
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
1200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-600.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in January 2026?$1.00Jan 26, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 21, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 15, 02:45 UTC
- REDEEMNew "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $1.01Jan 15, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $1.00Jan 7, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Base launch a token in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$1.04Jan 7, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.06Jan 7, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$1.06Jan 7, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$1.06Jan 7, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.09Jan 7, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$1.00Dec 12, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.02Dec 11, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?$1.02Dec 11, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Tariff" 15+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?$2.00Dec 11, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 11, 06:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.07Dec 10, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" 15+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?$1.00Dec 10, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" 15+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?$1.00Dec 10, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.00Dec 9, 05:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $2.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 19, 09:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 06:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".