Flickering-Hacienda
0xfd28ffa1f69326e58f75416a5a7e389158ab06f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$9.35
Total PnL
$-50.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
3 shares @ 89.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.75
$0.29
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
2 shares @ 91.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.20
$0.18
- YES
Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
1 shares @ 92.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.18
$0.08
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 90.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$1.07
$0.05
- YES
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
1 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$1.04
$0.01
- YES
Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tencent have the top AI model on December 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-69 tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 17, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.22Mar 17, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.28Mar 17, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.00Mar 3, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aztec launch a token by March 31, 2026?$1.01Mar 3, 07:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$1.16Mar 3, 07:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.21Mar 3, 07:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$2.30Mar 3, 07:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$2.50Mar 3, 07:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$3.31Mar 3, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Faustin-Archange Touadéra win the 2025 Central African Republic presidential election?$1.04Jan 12, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yoweri Kaguta Museveni win the 2026 Ugandan presidential election?$1.12Jan 12, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?$1.06Jan 12, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?$1.12Jan 12, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?$1.15Jan 12, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.16Jan 12, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jessie Buckley (Hamnet) win Best Actress – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?$1.19Jan 12, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Run Away" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)$1.20Jan 12, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sinners win Best Original Score – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?$1.24Jan 12, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Run Away" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)$1.51Jan 12, 09:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $1.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 09:11 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 08:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".