Silver-Astronomy
0xfd47e2f30ac97571e6e68f51bf4531b108af805a
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
66
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-348.38
Realised
$7.73
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- NO
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31?
236 shares @ 84.8¢·now 80.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$188.76
$-11.24
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
205 shares @ 82.9¢·now 83.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$171.20
$1.20
- NO
Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31?
153 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$152.79
$2.79
- YES
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
562 shares @ 23.1¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$126.49
$-3.51
- NO
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in July 2026?
125 shares @ 80.2¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$124.00
$24.00
- NO
Kash Patel out by July 31?
105 shares @ 95.1¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$104.75
$4.75
- NO
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?
88 shares @ 85.3¢·now 91.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$80.46
$5.46
- NO
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in July 2026?
79 shares @ 89.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$78.52
$8.52
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?
78 shares @ 96.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$70.70
$-4.30
- NO
Will Trump meet with Miguel Díaz-Canel in July 2026?
63 shares @ 95.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$62.36
$2.36
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?$20.00Jul 28, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 31, 2026?$20.00Jul 28, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?$30.00Jul 28, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?$25.08Jul 28, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?$64.64Jul 28, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31?$11.43Jul 28, 12:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$15.49Jul 27, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1.5T yuan?$21.05Jul 27, 09:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by July 31, 2026?$30.00Jul 25, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026?$20.00Jul 25, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31?$50.00Jul 25, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31?$100.00Jul 25, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?$20.18Jul 25, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?$60.00Jul 25, 09:28 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?$5.73Jul 25, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Houthis successfully target shipping on July 24, 2026?$34.48Jul 25, 06:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $35.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 16:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.