Defenseless-Buzzard
0xfd576303035a5ea2e9538c1b07138da43a7b11a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$13.47
Total PnL
$-8.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.73
$0.00
- NO
Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.85
$0.01
- NO
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.84
$0.00
- YES
Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.84
$0.02
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$1.77
$-0.05
- NO
Sam Altman in jail by June 30?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.72
$-0.01
- NO
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.72
$0.01
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?
5 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.18
- NO
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on November 28, 2025?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSam Altman in jail by June 30?$1.73Jun 13, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.82Jun 13, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2.73Jun 1, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?$1.82May 9, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$1.71Apr 30, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.84Apr 29, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jordan strike Iran by March 31?$1.27Apr 29, 01:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$1.52Apr 29, 01:03 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?$1.63Apr 29, 01:03 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.93Apr 29, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?$1.84Apr 29, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$1.52Apr 15, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?$1.18Mar 30, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan strike Iran by March 31?$1.26Mar 30, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?$1.62Mar 29, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.93Dec 30, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stranger Things: Season 5 be #1 for 3 straight weeks?$1.91Dec 30, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$2.27Dec 30, 02:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.10Dec 9, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$11.65Dec 9, 02:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $6.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 09:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 08:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.