Boring-Twig
0xfd5c9bbfd0ac1823e629add0dcd4981b86336d2a
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$155.56
Total PnL
$-5.3K
Realised
$-141.15
Win rate
34%
44 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
96 shares @ 28.3¢·now 32.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$30.62
$3.51
- YES
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
56 shares @ 64.8¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$27.44
$-8.84
- YES
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
142 shares @ 18.6¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.79
$-8.71
- NO
Halle Berry as Storm?
36 shares @ 66.6¢·now 48.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2026$17.14
$-6.63
- YES
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
45 shares @ 32.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.77
$0.23
- YES
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by December 31, 2026?
73 shares @ 25.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$14.21
$-4.01
- YES
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
20 shares @ 66.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 20, 2029$13.48
$0.10
- YES
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
46 shares @ 18.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$8.56
$0.23
- YES
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?
1327 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.64
$-14.94
- YES
Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in June?
27 shares @ 28.8¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.14
$-4.71
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$4.89Jun 13, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$0.01Jun 13, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$5.70Jun 13, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 200+ posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$36.91Jun 13, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$16.88Jun 13, 11:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$12.53Jun 13, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$20.00Jun 13, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$20.00Jun 13, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$96.51Jun 13, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$8.67Jun 12, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$14.32Jun 12, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$3.64Jun 12, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$129.46Jun 12, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 200+ posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$10.50Jun 12, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$7.89Jun 12, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.01Jun 12, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$0.57Jun 12, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 200+ posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$0.29Jun 12, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 200+ posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$0.02Jun 12, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 200+ posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$0.10Jun 12, 13:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $39.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 21:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 15:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 44 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.