Adolescent-Cereal
0xfd80b243058e5a17372cc6820a4c118cfd89161c
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$559.47
Total PnL
$-0.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
491 shares @ 50.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$476.05
$230.54
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
491 shares @ 50.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.98
$-230.54
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on May 14?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$9.80
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 14?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 14, 2026$9.49
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on May 14?
8 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 14, 2026$7.79
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C or below on May 14?
8 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 14, 2026$7.69
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 14?
8 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 14, 2026$7.60
$-0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 74°F or higher on May 14?
7 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 14, 2026$7.30
$-0.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 86°F or higher on May 14?
7 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 14, 2026$6.49
$-0.01
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 1°C or below on May 14?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 14, 2026$6.19
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on May 14?$6.101h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 14?$9.501h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 74°F or higher on May 14?$7.301h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 14?$7.601h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on May 14?$9.801h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be 86°F or higher on May 14?$6.501h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 1°C or below on May 14?$6.201h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C or below on May 14?$7.701h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on May 14?$7.801h ago
- MERGEWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$100.501h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C or below on May 12?$1.001h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on May 12?$1.101h ago
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C or below on May 12?$1.301h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on May 12?$1.401h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 12?$1.401h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C or below on May 12?$1.401h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 12?$1.401h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on May 12?$1.701h ago
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 0°C or below on May 12?$1.801h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 12?$1.801h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $3.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4d ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
