Waterlogged-List
0xfd8397a0d8b857f5931403148b109dfa97fd7647
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$68.78
Total PnL
$-66.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
69 shares @ 58.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$68.78
$28.78
- YES
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?
328 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
285 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
161 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?$10.48May 18, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?$10.46May 18, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$10.37May 18, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$31.22May 18, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$40.84May 18, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$5.22May 18, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$31.32May 18, 12:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $19.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 12:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 12:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.