Prickly-Fright
0xfd85da9e4f84bc8db3e839ab12a9a15303b09e6e
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-109.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will GPT-5 be released on August 9?
2156 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2025$0.00
$-17.41
- NO
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?
2011 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2025$0.00
$-39.21
- YES
Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?
1050 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-32.20
- YES
Will GPT-5 be released on August 10?
828 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2025$0.00
$-6.56
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
355 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-9.22
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?
43 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- KNICKS
Knicks vs. Timberwolves
9 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLChina x Japan military clash before 2027?$31.96May 28, 03:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$44.95May 28, 03:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $38.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 03:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.