Diligent-Spice
0xfd9f612544d7b1e532598dd43f90e6025cf0a686
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
152
Open notional
$47.14
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-0.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 152- NO
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?
17 shares @ 65.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$16.88
$5.88
- NO
Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?
14 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$14.09
$3.09
- NO
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?
14 shares @ 77.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$14.00
$3.00
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.93
$0.07
- NO
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?
14 shares @ 76.0¢·now 4.7¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.67
$-10.32
- NO
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?
15 shares @ 71.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.32
$-10.68
- NO
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?
14 shares @ 77.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.22
$-10.78
- YES
Will Kataeb Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
50 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.03
$-0.38
- NO
Panama vs. Croatia: Draw at halftime?
18 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
England leading at halftime?
18 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Adriano Espaillat win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?$14.86Jun 30, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Adriano Espaillat win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?$14.10Jun 30, 00:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?$13.51Jun 27, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMBillionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?$14.67Jun 26, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill voter turnout be 56-60% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$15.71Jun 26, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?$16.39Jun 25, 19:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the announcers say "What a Save" during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?$17.19Jun 25, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$16.67Jun 25, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?$15.07Jun 25, 15:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$16.67Jun 25, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Tax" 20+ times during June 24 Rally?$15.71Jun 25, 04:36 UTC
- REDEEMPatrik Schick: 1+ goals$14.47Jun 25, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMSon Heungmin: 1+ goals$18.03Jun 25, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMCzechia to score first vs. Mexico?$16.42Jun 25, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMCzechia vs. Mexico: Second half draw?$17.19Jun 25, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMSouth Africa vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score in Second Half$14.47Jun 25, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?$14.47Jun 25, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?$14.29Jun 25, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMCzechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to Score in Second Half$14.29Jun 25, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "World Cup" or "Olympics" during June 24 Rally?$14.86Jun 25, 03:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 21:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 03:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.